M&A Intelligence

DOCTRINE

M&A Intelligence

Overview

M&A Intelligence is the Prismatic Platform's capability for automating and enhancing the due diligence process in mergers, acquisitions, and corporate investment decisions. It combines automated corporate entity resolution across multiple registries, financial analysis from public and proprietary data sources, risk assessment through multi-layer verification, and intelligence synthesis from 121+ OSINT sources into a unified due diligence workflow. The platform transforms what is traditionally a manual, weeks-long process into a systematic, evidence-based assessment pipeline that produces verifiable, confidence-scored intelligence products.

Corporate due diligence has historically suffered from three systemic weaknesses: incomplete source coverage, inconsistent assessment methodology, and inability to verify the provenance of findings. The Prismatic M&A Intelligence module addresses all three by applying the platform's NABLA axiom framework to every stage of the due diligence process, ensuring that no finding is accepted without multi-source corroboration, no contradiction is discarded, and every conclusion carries a traceable evidence chain.

Due Diligence Automation

Assessment Pipeline

The M&A due diligence pipeline transforms a target entity identifier into a comprehensive intelligence dossier through a series of automated stages:

Target Entity --> Entity Resolution --> Registry Collection --> Financial Analysis --> Risk Assessment --> Intelligence Synthesis --> Dossier
     |                  |                      |                      |                     |                      |                   |
  Name/ICO          Cross-registry         ARES, ISIR             Balance sheets        Sanctions             NABLA axioms       Verified
  DUNS/LEI          identity merge         Justice.cz             Ownership graphs      PEP screening         Trinity Gate       report
                                           EU registries          Cash flow analysis    Litigation check      Confidence scores

Automated Collection Domains

DomainSourcesData PointsUpdate Frequency
Corporate RegistryARES, Justice.cz, EU business registersLegal form, directors, shareholders, registered capitalDaily
Financial RecordsPublic filings, annual reports, credit agenciesRevenue, assets, liabilities, cash flow, ratiosQuarterly
Litigation & InsolvencyISIR, court records, enforcement databasesActive proceedings, historical judgments, enforcement ordersDaily
Sanctions & PEPEU Sanctions List, OFAC SDN, national PEP listsSanctions matches, politically exposed person statusReal-time
Beneficial OwnershipUBO registers, ownership chain analysisUltimate beneficial owners, control structuresMonthly
Intellectual PropertyPatent offices, trademark registriesPatent portfolio, trademark status, IP disputesWeekly
Media & ReputationNews archives, social media, industry publicationsSentiment analysis, controversy detection, executive profileContinuous

Corporate Entity Resolution

Cross-Registry Identity Linking

A single corporate entity may appear differently across multiple registries -- different name formatting, transliteration variations, historical name changes, and inconsistent identifier usage. The entity resolution engine links these disparate records into a unified entity profile:

# Cross-registry entity resolution
{:ok, unified} = PrismaticDD.resolve_entity(%{
  ares: %{ico: "27082440", name: "Alza.cz a.s."},
  justice: %{ico: "27082440", name: "ALZA.CZ, a.s."},
  isir: %{debtor_ico: "27082440", name: "Alza.cz akciova spolecnost"},
  eu_register: %{lei: "315700BNHP2R1VUXGQ42", name: "Alza.cz a.s."}
})
# => %UnifiedEntity{
#   primary_name: "Alza.cz a.s.",
#   identifiers: %{ico: "27082440", lei: "315700BNHP2R1VUXGQ42"},
#   name_variants: ["ALZA.CZ, a.s.", "Alza.cz akciova spolecnost"],
#   resolution_confidence: 0.99,
#   sources: [:ares, :justice, :isir, :eu_register]
# }

Resolution Methods

MethodApplicationAccuracySpeed
DeterministicExact identifier match (ICO, DUNS, LEI, VAT ID)100%Instant
Fuzzy Name MatchingDiacritics normalization, abbreviation expansion, transliteration85-95%Milliseconds
Network-BasedShared directors, registered address, ownership overlap90-98%Seconds
Temporal LinkingHistorical name changes, mergers, demergers tracked over time80-95%Seconds
Cross-JurisdictionalMapping between national identifier systems (ICO to LEI to DUNS)92-99%Seconds

Ownership Graph Construction

The platform builds multi-layer ownership graphs that reveal the full corporate structure behind a target entity:

Ultimate Beneficial Owner (UBO)
  |
  +-- Holding Company A (Country X, 60% ownership)
  |     |
  |     +-- Target Entity (CZ, 100% subsidiary)
  |     |     |
  |     |     +-- Operating Subsidiary 1 (CZ, 100%)
  |     |     +-- Operating Subsidiary 2 (SK, 80%)
  |     |
  |     +-- Sister Company (DE, 100% subsidiary)
  |
  +-- Holding Company B (Country Y, 40% ownership)
        |
        +-- Shared Director with PEP status (flagged)

These graphs are constructed from registry data, augmented with beneficial ownership information, and cross-referenced against sanctions and PEP databases at every node.

Financial Analysis

Automated Financial Assessment

The platform extracts and analyzes financial data from publicly available filings, computing standard financial health indicators:

CategoryMetricsAssessment
LiquidityCurrent ratio, quick ratio, cash ratioShort-term obligation coverage
SolvencyDebt-to-equity, interest coverage, debt ratioLong-term financial stability
ProfitabilityROE, ROA, EBITDA margin, net marginEarnings capability and efficiency
GrowthRevenue CAGR, asset growth, employee growthExpansion trajectory
Working CapitalDays receivable, days payable, inventory turnoverOperational efficiency
ValuationRevenue multiples, asset-based valuation, comparable analysisFair value estimation

Anomaly Detection

Financial analysis includes automated detection of patterns that warrant deeper investigation:

Anomaly TypeDetection MethodRisk Indicator
Revenue manipulationBenford's Law analysis on reported figuresDigit distribution deviation
Related party transactionsCross-reference with ownership graphHigh-value transactions with connected entities
Sudden changesYear-over-year deviation exceeding 2 standard deviationsUnexplained spikes or drops
Inconsistent reportingCross-check between registry filings and tax recordsDiscrepancies between data sources
Going concern indicatorsNegative working capital trend, accumulated lossesViability risk assessment

Risk Assessment

Multi-Layer Risk Framework

Risk assessment operates across five independent domains, each producing a domain-specific risk score that feeds into the composite M&A risk rating:

Risk DomainAssessment ScopeWeightKey Indicators
Legal RiskLitigation, regulatory actions, compliance history25%Active lawsuits, enforcement orders, regulatory fines
Financial RiskSolvency, liquidity, profitability trends25%Declining ratios, negative cash flow, debt covenants
Sanctions RiskSanctions lists, PEP associations, restricted jurisdictions20%Direct/indirect sanctions exposure, PEP relationships
Reputational RiskMedia sentiment, controversy history, executive conduct15%Negative coverage, scandal history, executive turnover
Operational RiskBusiness continuity, key person dependency, supply chain15%Concentration risk, succession gaps, vendor dependency

Confidence-Scored Findings

Every risk finding carries a confidence score computed according to the NABLA axiom framework:

# Risk assessment with confidence scores
{:ok, risk_profile} = PrismaticDD.assess_risk("27082440")
# => %{
#   overall_risk: :moderate,
#   composite_score: 42,
#   domains: %{
#     legal: %{score: 35, confidence: 0.92, findings: 2},
#     financial: %{score: 28, confidence: 0.88, findings: 5},
#     sanctions: %{score: 0, confidence: 0.97, findings: 0},
#     reputational: %{score: 55, confidence: 0.75, findings: 3},
#     operational: %{score: 62, confidence: 0.71, findings: 4}
#   },
#   contradictions: [
#     %{
#       finding: "Strong revenue growth vs declining cash position",
#       sources: [:financial_filings, :credit_agency],
#       requires_investigation: true
#     }
#   ]
# }

Note the contradictions field: following the Addiction Preservation doctrine, contradictory signals are preserved and surfaced rather than resolved through premature judgment.

Intelligence Synthesis for M&A

Dossier Generation

The final output of the M&A Intelligence pipeline is a comprehensive dossier that synthesizes all collected data, analysis results, and risk assessments into a structured, verifiable document:

Dossier SectionContentVerification Level
Executive SummaryOverall assessment, key findings, recommendationTrinity Gate verified
Entity ProfileResolved identity, corporate structure, historyMulti-source confirmed
Financial AnalysisHealth indicators, trend analysis, anomaliesSource-provenance attached
Ownership StructureUBO identification, control chain, related partiesCross-registry verified
Risk AssessmentDomain scores, findings, contradictionsNABLA axiom compliant
Compliance CheckSanctions screening, PEP associations, regulatory statusReal-time verified
Source InventoryAll sources consulted, data freshness, coverage gapsFull provenance chain

Epistemic Rigor

Every dossier section passes through Trinity Gate verification:

  1. Structural Consistency: The evidence graph forms a valid DAG with no circular reasoning
  2. Logical Consistency: Conclusions follow from evidence without logical fallacies
  3. Formal Verification: Critical claims (sanctions status, ownership chains) formally proved
  4. Consciousness Layer: Meta-assessment of the assessment methodology itself

Findings that fail Trinity Gate are flagged as unverified with explicit explanation of which gate failed and why, rather than being silently excluded.

Integration


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Created by Tomáš Korcak (korczis) | Open Source under GHL