#bayesian

engineering

Nabla Infinity: An Epistemic Confidence Framework for Intelligence

Inside the Nabla epistemic framework: how Prismatic quantifies certainty, decomposes uncertainty into epistemic and aleatoric components, and prevents intelligence analysts from overconfident conclusions.

Mar 20, 2026 ·10 min

deep-dive

Hypothesis-Driven Investigation: Scientific Method for DD

Applying scientific methodology to due diligence: hypothesis generation, evidence evaluation, Bayesian updating, and structured analytic techniques

Mar 16, 2026 ·12 min